Home/Away High Odds Loss Recovery

A recovery system without draws. It plays only home or away, starts at 50u and uses odds-aware recovery staking with a 250u maximum.

Loss recoveryMedium-high risk

Profit

-730.0U

Hit rate

27.6%

ROI

-36.5%

Bets

136

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Historical results

Forward risk

Profit probability

18.3%

Stop-drawdown probability

100.0%

Ruin probability

75.7%

Expected profit

-781.1U

This forecast describes the model system in its current operating state. Your personal risk can differ after copying the system, especially at the beginning, because your bankroll, entry point and active step may not match the model.

Rules

This system plays home or away only. Draws are excluded. Minimum odds are 2.50. Number context: in the model system, the starting bankroll is 2000u. All listed stakes and sequences refer to that model bankroll. They are not automatically recalculated as a percentage of the user's current bankroll. The base stake is 50u. After a loss, the system calculates what stake would recover the cumulative loss and still aim for 50u profit: (cumulative loss + 50u) / (odds - 1). The maximum model stake is 250u. User-edited odds matter here: higher odds require a smaller recovery stake, lower odds require a larger one. Example: after a 50u loss at odds 2.50, the next stake is (50u + 50u) / 1.5 = 66.67u. Compared with the full 1X2 recovery system, the staking engine is the same, but the candidate pool excludes draws.

Risk notice

Medium-high risk: the stake can grow after losing runs, but the formula is more controlled than simple doubling because it accounts for the actual odds.

Risk notice+

Historical results do not guarantee future performance. Every decision is your own risk. Content is informational and analytical.

Taxes: the Betting Systems module does not include taxes, fees or other public-law charges that may apply to betting in the user's country. NoFluffPicks operates across multiple markets and jurisdictions, so calculations, simulations, odds, stakes, potential returns and profitability assessments are illustrative and do not account for individual tax obligations. The user is solely responsible for determining whether taxes or other charges apply to a given system, in what amount, and how they affect the real profitability of any bets placed.